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Survival: November 2023
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment. In this issue: Lawrence Freedman assesses Russia’s nuclear red line and how Vladimir Putin’s views compare to those of Russian pundits Steven Simon and Jonathan Stevenson explore the roots of Hamas’s attack on Israel on 7 October, and the options available to the United States for restraining the Israeli government Charlie Laderman assesses the similarities between December 1941 – when Germany and Japan, determining it to be inevitable, declared war on the US – and the ongoing geopolitical crises governments face today Sara Bjerg Moller reflects on NATO allies’ failure to deliver on national collective-defence targets as the Alliance approaches its 75th anniversary Lynn Kuok explores China’s reshaping of international law to achieve its strategic goals, and other countries’ failure to do so And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana Allin Managing Editor: Jonathan Stevenson Associate Editor: Carolyn West Editorial Assistant: Conor Hodges
Survival: June-July 2024
by The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue: François Heisbourg considers how Europeans might prepare for a disrupted US security commitment if Donald Trump becomes president again – free to read Lanxin Xiang warns that the Biden administration’s democracy-versus-autocracy framework increases the risk of conflict between the United States and China Daniel Byman argues that the Gaza war will leave both Israel and Hamas worse off – free to read Hanna Notte assesses the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on multilateral nuclear forums and on the broader nuclear order And ten more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestEditorial Assistant: Conor Hodges
Survival: June-July 2024
by The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue: François Heisbourg considers how Europeans might prepare for a disrupted US security commitment if Donald Trump becomes president again – free to read Lanxin Xiang warns that the Biden administration’s democracy-versus-autocracy framework increases the risk of conflict between the United States and China Daniel Byman argues that the Gaza war will leave both Israel and Hamas worse off – free to read Hanna Notte assesses the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on multilateral nuclear forums and on the broader nuclear order And ten more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestEditorial Assistant: Conor Hodges
Survival: June - July 2023
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment. In this issue Hannah Aries, Bastian Giegerich and Tim Lawrenson assess that Europe’s defence industry will struggle to meet increased production needs In 2007, the late Ronald Steel judged that while the Iraq War had weakened the United States, it would not profoundly affect US foreign policy (from the archive) Dana H. Allin reflects on Ronald Steel’s legacy and prospects for the ‘extended American Century’ Liana Fix argues that the West should formulate security guarantees for Ukraine in parallel with its counter-offensive Daniel Sobelman assesses that the Yemen-based Houthi rebel movement is emulating Hizbullah And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana Allin Managing Editor: Jonathan Stevenson Associate Editor: Carolyn West Editorial Assistant: Charlie Zawadzki
Survival: June - July 2023
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment. In this issue Hannah Aries, Bastian Giegerich and Tim Lawrenson assess that Europe’s defence industry will struggle to meet increased production needs In 2007, the late Ronald Steel judged that while the Iraq War had weakened the United States, it would not profoundly affect US foreign policy (from the archive) Dana H. Allin reflects on Ronald Steel’s legacy and prospects for the ‘extended American Century’ Liana Fix argues that the West should formulate security guarantees for Ukraine in parallel with its counter-offensive Daniel Sobelman assesses that the Yemen-based Houthi rebel movement is emulating Hizbullah And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana Allin Managing Editor: Jonathan Stevenson Associate Editor: Carolyn West Editorial Assistant: Charlie Zawadzki
Survival June-July 2021: Ending Endless Wars?
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Anatol Lieven argues that the Taliban will remain the most powerful military and political force among the Pashtuns of AfghanistanLanxin Xiang contends that, following what he describes as Donald Trump’s racist China policy, the Biden administration must avoid casting China as an alien threatDani Filc and Sharon Pardo assess that right-wing populists in Israel and Europe have become ideological allies, harnessing ethnic nationalism against global IslamAlex J. Bellamy and Charles T. Hunt analyse the intricacies of the use of force to protect civilians in UN peacekeeping missions And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival June-July 2021: Ending Endless Wars?
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Anatol Lieven argues that the Taliban will remain the most powerful military and political force among the Pashtuns of AfghanistanLanxin Xiang contends that, following what he describes as Donald Trump’s racist China policy, the Biden administration must avoid casting China as an alien threatDani Filc and Sharon Pardo assess that right-wing populists in Israel and Europe have become ideological allies, harnessing ethnic nationalism against global IslamAlex J. Bellamy and Charles T. Hunt analyse the intricacies of the use of force to protect civilians in UN peacekeeping missions And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival: Global Politics and Strategy (February-March 2020): Deterring North Korea
by Jina Kim John K. Warden Adam Mount Mira Rapp-Hooper Vipin Narang Ankit Panda Ian Campbell Michaela DodgeSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Nigel Gould-Davies assesses the impact of Western sanctions on Russia, arguing that they represent a major development in economic statecraft In a special colloquium on the North Korean nuclear threat, Jina Kim, John K. Warden, Adam Mount, Mira Rapp-Hooper, Vipin Narang, Ankit Panda, Ian Campbell and Michaela Dodge offer their ideas for deterring PyongyangAlexander Klimburg warns that CYBERCOM’s strategy of ‘persistent engagement’ is encouraging a cyber arms raceAnd eight more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and noteworthy column
Survival: Global Politics and Strategy (February-March 2020): Deterring North Korea
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Nigel Gould-Davies assesses the impact of Western sanctions on Russia, arguing that they represent a major development in economic statecraft In a special colloquium on the North Korean nuclear threat, Jina Kim, John K. Warden, Adam Mount, Mira Rapp-Hooper, Vipin Narang, Ankit Panda, Ian Campbell and Michaela Dodge offer their ideas for deterring PyongyangAlexander Klimburg warns that CYBERCOM’s strategy of ‘persistent engagement’ is encouraging a cyber arms raceAnd eight more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and noteworthy column
Survival February–March 2021: A House Divided
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Steven Simon argues that despite the violent storming of the US Capitol, Republicans are inclined to commit to minority ruleIn a special forum, IISS researchers and three other experts consider whether NATO’s European members can defend themselves without US supportHanns W. Maull contends that the coronavirus pandemic has revealed deficiencies of global governance, and analyses their implications for the future of international orderChristopher W. Hughes, Alessio Patalano and Robert Ward examine Japan’s grand strategy and Abe Shinzo’s legacy And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival February–March 2021: A House Divided
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Steven Simon argues that despite the violent storming of the US Capitol, Republicans are inclined to commit to minority ruleIn a special forum, IISS researchers and three other experts consider whether NATO’s European members can defend themselves without US supportHanns W. Maull contends that the coronavirus pandemic has revealed deficiencies of global governance, and analyses their implications for the future of international orderChristopher W. Hughes, Alessio Patalano and Robert Ward examine Japan’s grand strategy and Abe Shinzo’s legacy And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival: February-March 2024
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue: Franz-Stefan Gady and Michael Kofman highlight the pitfalls of grafting a Western manoeuvre-oriented approach to war onto the Russia–Ukraine conflict Irene Mia examines the chasm between Javier Milei’s dramatic rhetoric and the domestic and international obstacles he faces to changing Argentina’s foreign and economic policies Edoardo Campanella and John Haigh outline the necessity of meaningful dialogue between the West and China to prevent the internet’s fragmentation John Raine assesses the geopolitical trends that the Gaza war has set in motion and the issues they create for Ukraine’s defence against Russia And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestEditorial Assistant: Conor Hodges
Survival: February-March 2024
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue: Franz-Stefan Gady and Michael Kofman highlight the pitfalls of grafting a Western manoeuvre-oriented approach to war onto the Russia–Ukraine conflict Irene Mia examines the chasm between Javier Milei’s dramatic rhetoric and the domestic and international obstacles he faces to changing Argentina’s foreign and economic policies Edoardo Campanella and John Haigh outline the necessity of meaningful dialogue between the West and China to prevent the internet’s fragmentation John Raine assesses the geopolitical trends that the Gaza war has set in motion and the issues they create for Ukraine’s defence against Russia And seven more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestEditorial Assistant: Conor Hodges
Survival February - March 2022: The Reckoning: Russia, Ukraine and NATO
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:· The Ukraine crisis: Robert Hunter argues that the most important requirement of successful US-led negotiations with Russia is that Moscow demonstrate that it is prepared to be a responsible international actor· Erin Sikorsky contends that climate change should have a larger role in the day-to-day national-security agendas of the United States and other countries· Stephan Frühling and Andrew O’Neil warn that current US debates about no first use tend to underplay the broader alliance implications of any shift in US nuclear policy· Rahul Roy-Chaudhury and Kate Sullivan de Estrada assess that, given the 2021 US FONOP targeting India, Washington and New Delhi need to better manage their diverse positions on global governance, especially in the maritime domain· Nien-chung Chang-Liao warns that pragmatism in Chinese foreign policy is waning and considers why Chinese diplomats have become so aggressiveAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival February - March 2022: The Reckoning: Russia, Ukraine and NATO
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:· The Ukraine crisis: Robert Hunter argues that the most important requirement of successful US-led negotiations with Russia is that Moscow demonstrate that it is prepared to be a responsible international actor· Erin Sikorsky contends that climate change should have a larger role in the day-to-day national-security agendas of the United States and other countries· Stephan Frühling and Andrew O’Neil warn that current US debates about no first use tend to underplay the broader alliance implications of any shift in US nuclear policy· Rahul Roy-Chaudhury and Kate Sullivan de Estrada assess that, given the 2021 US FONOP targeting India, Washington and New Delhi need to better manage their diverse positions on global governance, especially in the maritime domain· Nien-chung Chang-Liao warns that pragmatism in Chinese foreign policy is waning and considers why Chinese diplomats have become so aggressiveAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival December 2021-January 2022: Trials of Liberalism
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Gigi Kwik Gronvall examines the contested origin of SARS-CoV-2 and argues that scientific work should be apolitical and globally cooperated, including with ChinaLawrence Freedman contends that while liberalism is in crisis, it should still be better than authoritarianism at adapting to new circumstances, acknowledging salient problems and choosing among alternativesRobert S. Ross argues that Chinese strategists believe Beijing can challenge a strategically weakened United States on the Korean PeninsulaOndrej Rosendorf, Michal Smetana and Marek Vranka assess that persuading the public that nuclear abolition is feasible could strengthen disarmament advocacyAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival December 2021-January 2022: Trials of Liberalism
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Gigi Kwik Gronvall examines the contested origin of SARS-CoV-2 and argues that scientific work should be apolitical and globally cooperated, including with ChinaLawrence Freedman contends that while liberalism is in crisis, it should still be better than authoritarianism at adapting to new circumstances, acknowledging salient problems and choosing among alternativesRobert S. Ross argues that Chinese strategists believe Beijing can challenge a strategically weakened United States on the Korean PeninsulaOndrej Rosendorf, Michal Smetana and Marek Vranka assess that persuading the public that nuclear abolition is feasible could strengthen disarmament advocacyAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival December 2020–January 2021: A World After Trump
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Barry Posen argues that Europe is better placed to defend itself militarily than many, including the IISS, have portrayed it to beKori Schake examines the prospects of Republican politics in a post-Trump AmericaDaniel Byman and Aditi Joshi call for protocols to curb the abuse of social media by malign agents and statesNigel Gould-Davies explains Russia’s stance on Belarus with reference to Moscow’s long history of involving itself in its neighbours’ affairsAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival December 2020–January 2021: A World After Trump
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Barry Posen argues that Europe is better placed to defend itself militarily than many, including the IISS, have portrayed it to beKori Schake examines the prospects of Republican politics in a post-Trump AmericaDaniel Byman and Aditi Joshi call for protocols to curb the abuse of social media by malign agents and statesNigel Gould-Davies explains Russia’s stance on Belarus with reference to Moscow’s long history of involving itself in its neighbours’ affairsAnd nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival August-September 2021: Debating US Foreign Policy
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Daniel Deudney and G. John Ikenberry argue that liberal internationalism is more appropriate to contemporary global realities than the Quincy-coalition restraintJames Crabtree explains why the West’s Build Back Better World partnership will be hard-pressed to compete with China’s Belt and Road InitiativeJoelien Pretorius and Tom Sauer contend that if states are serious about nuclear disarmament, they should ditch the NPT and join the Ban Treaty insteadSameer Lalwani and Tyler Sagerstrom analyse what the India–Russia defence partnership means for US policyAnd eight more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival August-September 2021: Debating US Foreign Policy
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Daniel Deudney and G. John Ikenberry argue that liberal internationalism is more appropriate to contemporary global realities than the Quincy-coalition restraintJames Crabtree explains why the West’s Build Back Better World partnership will be hard-pressed to compete with China’s Belt and Road InitiativeJoelien Pretorius and Tom Sauer contend that if states are serious about nuclear disarmament, they should ditch the NPT and join the Ban Treaty insteadSameer Lalwani and Tyler Sagerstrom analyse what the India–Russia defence partnership means for US policyAnd eight more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column.Editor: Dr Dana AllinManaging Editor: Jonathan StevensonAssociate Editor: Carolyn WestAssistant Editor: Jessica Watson
Survival August-September 2020: Crisis and response
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Dalia Dassa Kaye and Shira Efron argue that only a major shift in US policy towards Iran would rekindle debate in Israel about its approach to the Islamic RepublicJordan Calinoff and David Gordon contend that the accusation of ‘debt-trap diplomacy’ against China lacks convincing evidenceErik Jones examines the impact of COVID-19 on the EU economyMichael J. Mazarr calls for a new international norm to safeguard the virtual territorial integrity of states from subversive cyber attacksAnd ten more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and Noteworthy column
Survival August-September 2020: Crisis and response
Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.In this issue:Dalia Dassa Kaye and Shira Efron argue that only a major shift in US policy towards Iran would rekindle debate in Israel about its approach to the Islamic RepublicJordan Calinoff and David Gordon contend that the accusation of ‘debt-trap diplomacy’ against China lacks convincing evidenceErik Jones examines the impact of COVID-19 on the EU economyMichael J. Mazarr calls for a new international norm to safeguard the virtual territorial integrity of states from subversive cyber attacksAnd ten more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular book reviews and Noteworthy column
Survival: August 2023
by The International Institute for Strategic StudiesSurvival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment. In this issue: François Heisbourg assesses that Ukraine might have to accept the de facto division of the country to secure a fast track into NATO Daniel Byman writes that state ties to terrorist groups are likely to feature in the western alliance’s long-term confrontation with Russia and in its rivalry with China Juan Pablo Medina Bickel and Irene Mia assess that global climate mitigation and the energy transition could reinforce South America’s geopolitical clout From the Survival archives, the late David P. Calleo predicted in 1999 that a successful euro would enhance the EU’s diplomatic and military capabilities, while the late James Dobbins considered in 2012 how the US could prevent a war with China Dana H. Allin and John L. Harper reflect on long-time Survival contributing editor David P. Calleo’s legacy And nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana Allin Managing Editor: Jonathan Stevenson Associate Editor: Carolyn West